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Red23
273315.1
41274.4
943019.7
Blue43
289812.0
669617.1
363612.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3349204060801002343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9430
#15
19.70.7
18.217.5
Auto5.9
Teleop11.1
End2.7
red by 2.6
6696
#14
17.10.1
14.114.2
Auto8.4
Teleop6.9
End1.8
Second
2733
#12
15.10.7
9.68.9
Auto6.2
Teleop7.1
End1.8
red by 2.2
3636
#18
12.90.1
14.714.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End0.8
Third
4127
#36
4.40.7
3.83.1
Auto2.9
Teleop1.0
End0.5
blue by 7.6
2898
#19
12.00.1
13.413.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed