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Red60
7538.6
96809.8
154027.1
Blue52
26359.9
142517.1
247124.3
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3658020801006052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.11.3
18.920.2
Auto11.6
Teleop10.8
End4.6
red by 2.8
24.30.5
20.520.0
Auto6.3
Teleop16.1
End1.9
Second
9680
#22
9.81.3
8.810.1
Auto5.3
Teleop3.7
End0.9
blue by 7.3
1425
#17
17.10.5
17.517.0
Auto6.4
Teleop6.3
End4.4
Third
753
#23
8.61.3
7.99.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End2.5
blue by 1.3
2635
#29
9.90.5
11.711.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed