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Red85
703421.9
281129.6
299018.3
Blue52
646516.3
529512.4
95718.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8037020601001208552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.61.1
31.332.3
Auto9.9
Teleop14.6
End5.0
red by 11.1
957
#13
18.50.6
21.722.2
Auto6.3
Teleop10.7
End1.5
Second
7034
#10
21.91.1
20.321.4
Auto10.1
Teleop10.3
End1.5
red by 5.5
6465
#28
16.30.6
8.49.0
Auto7.0
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Third
18.31.1
15.316.4
Auto5.5
Teleop8.7
End4.1
red by 5.9
5295
#25
12.40.6
8.49.0
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
60%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed