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Red61
289812.0
943019.7
237416.6
Blue57
302410.2
154027.1
255014.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484502060801001206157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9430
#15
19.70.5
17.517.0
Auto5.9
Teleop11.1
End2.7
blue by 7.4
27.11.1
20.221.2
Auto11.6
Teleop10.8
End4.6
Second
2374
#11
16.60.5
12.311.8
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End0.7
red by 2.5
2550
#16
14.11.1
11.812.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.4
End2.5
Third
2898
#19
12.00.5
13.513.0
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End0.8
red by 1.7
3024
#35
10.21.1
8.910.0
Auto5.9
Teleop3.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed