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Red6
36735.9
59755.2
634312.1
Blue52
960012.8
646516.3
469211.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33331020304050652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6343
#26
12.11.6
16.014.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End2.6
blue by 4.2
6465
#28
16.31.1
9.010.1
Auto7.0
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Second
3673
#31
5.91.6
9.07.4
Auto1.3
Teleop4.1
End0.6
blue by 6.8
9600
#30
12.81.1
11.712.8
Auto6.0
Teleop5.6
End1.1
Third
5975
#34
5.21.6
5.03.4
Auto1.8
Teleop1.1
End2.3
blue by 6.6
4692
#20
11.91.1
9.510.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed