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Red40
95718.5
956714.4
68456.8
Blue83
252142.2
703421.9
597010.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45762040601001204083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#13
18.50.3
22.221.9
Auto6.3
Teleop10.7
End1.5
blue by 23.7
42.21.2
37.839.0
Auto16.7
Teleop22.8
End2.7
Second
9567
#27
14.40.3
16.215.9
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End2.6
blue by 7.5
7034
#10
21.91.2
21.422.5
Auto10.1
Teleop10.3
End1.5
Third
6845
#33
6.80.3
6.46.1
Auto5.0
Teleop0.7
End1.1
blue by 3.9
5970
#32
10.61.2
6.17.3
Auto5.1
Teleop4.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed