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Red62
99714.8
644325.8
237416.6
Blue99
529512.4
943019.7
154027.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5552203040607080906299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.8
24.525.3
Auto8.6
Teleop15.9
End1.4
blue by 1.2
27.12.8
21.324.1
Auto11.6
Teleop10.8
End4.6
Second
2374
#11
16.60.8
11.612.4
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End0.7
blue by 3.1
9430
#15
19.72.8
17.520.3
Auto5.9
Teleop11.1
End2.7
Third
997
#24
14.80.8
13.714.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End2.7
red by 2.4
5295
#25
12.42.8
8.811.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned