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Red50
281129.6
95718.5
289812.0
Blue71
299018.3
448830.8
466214.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74572040801001205071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.61.0
30.629.6
Auto9.9
Teleop14.6
End5.0
blue by 1.2
30.81.2
26.727.8
Auto10.6
Teleop17.2
End3.0
Second
957
#13
18.51.0
21.420.4
Auto6.3
Teleop10.7
End1.5
red by 0.2
18.31.2
17.018.2
Auto5.5
Teleop8.7
End4.1
Third
2898
#19
12.01.0
12.911.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End0.8
blue by 2.5
14.51.2
10.011.2
Auto7.1
Teleop4.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsEarned