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Red52
247124.3
68456.8
960012.8
Blue80
363612.9
956714.4
252142.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358002040601005280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.31.0
19.520.5
Auto6.3
Teleop16.1
End1.9
blue by 17.9
42.20.2
38.538.7
Auto16.7
Teleop22.8
End2.7
Second
9600
#30
12.81.0
11.612.6
Auto6.0
Teleop5.6
End1.1
blue by 1.6
9567
#27
14.40.2
14.514.6
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End2.6
Third
6845
#33
6.81.0
5.96.9
Auto5.0
Teleop0.7
End1.1
blue by 6.1
3636
#18
12.90.2
14.414.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsEarned