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Red76
448830.8
273315.1
529512.4
Blue43
406018.9
255014.1
634312.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594702040801001207643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.81.6
27.829.5
Auto10.6
Teleop17.2
End3.0
red by 11.9
4060
#21
18.90.2
17.417.2
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End2.9
Second
2733
#12
15.11.6
12.113.8
Auto6.2
Teleop7.1
End1.8
red by 1.0
2550
#16
14.10.2
13.213.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.4
End2.5
Third
5295
#25
12.41.6
11.613.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End0.9
red by 0.2
6343
#26
12.10.2
13.213.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned