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Red47
68456.8
142517.1
597010.6
Blue71
466214.5
646516.3
237416.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353820305060704771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#17
17.11.0
16.417.4
Auto6.4
Teleop6.3
End4.4
red by 0.5
2374
#11
16.62.5
12.414.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End0.7
Second
5970
#32
10.61.0
8.79.7
Auto5.1
Teleop4.6
End1.0
blue by 5.7
6465
#28
16.32.5
10.312.8
Auto7.0
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Third
6845
#33
6.81.0
6.97.9
Auto5.0
Teleop0.7
End1.1
blue by 7.7
14.52.5
11.213.6
Auto7.1
Teleop4.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed