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Red73
96809.8
252142.2
669617.1
Blue45
99714.8
703421.9
7538.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7744020601001207345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.20.2
39.439.6
Auto16.7
Teleop22.8
End2.7
red by 20.3
7034
#10
21.90.1
21.921.9
Auto10.1
Teleop10.3
End1.5
Second
6696
#14
17.10.2
16.817.0
Auto8.4
Teleop6.9
End1.8
red by 2.3
997
#24
14.80.1
13.013.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End2.7
Third
9680
#22
9.80.2
9.69.8
Auto5.3
Teleop3.7
End0.9
red by 1.2
753
#23
8.60.1
8.99.0
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned