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Red46
466214.5
597010.6
26359.9
Blue26
634312.1
529512.4
289812.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354402060804626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.50.9
13.614.6
Auto7.1
Teleop4.7
End2.7
red by 2.1
5295
#25
12.40.8
13.212.4
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End0.9
Second
5970
#32
10.60.9
9.710.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.6
End1.0
blue by 1.5
6343
#26
12.10.8
13.012.1
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End2.6
Third
2635
#29
9.90.9
9.09.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End2.6
blue by 2.1
2898
#19
12.00.8
12.311.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed