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Red54
255014.1
142517.1
273315.1
Blue56
404333.6
943019.7
68456.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4572204060801001205456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#17
17.10.7
17.418.0
Auto6.4
Teleop6.3
End4.4
blue by 16.5
33.61.1
33.432.3
Auto14.3
Teleop16.8
End2.5
Second
2733
#12
15.10.7
13.814.4
Auto6.2
Teleop7.1
End1.8
blue by 4.6
9430
#15
19.71.1
21.019.9
Auto5.9
Teleop11.1
End2.7
Third
2550
#16
14.10.7
13.113.7
Auto4.2
Teleop7.4
End2.5
red by 7.3
6845
#33
6.81.1
7.96.8
Auto5.0
Teleop0.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned52%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsEarned