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Red90
644325.8
448830.8
255014.1
Blue57
406018.9
273315.1
960012.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions804602040601001201409057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.5
29.930.4
Auto10.6
Teleop17.2
End3.0
red by 11.9
4060
#21
18.90.2
18.618.9
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End2.9
Second
25.80.5
25.025.5
Auto8.6
Teleop15.9
End1.4
red by 10.7
2733
#12
15.10.2
14.915.1
Auto6.2
Teleop7.1
End1.8
Third
2550
#16
14.10.5
13.313.7
Auto4.2
Teleop7.4
End2.5
red by 1.3
9600
#30
12.80.2
12.512.8
Auto6.0
Teleop5.6
End1.1