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Red103
646516.3
252142.2
154027.1
Blue102
404333.6
247124.3
99714.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9173406080100120140160103102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.20.5
40.340.8
Auto16.7
Teleop22.8
End2.7
red by 8.5
33.60.7
32.433.1
Auto14.3
Teleop16.8
End2.5
Second
27.10.5
25.225.8
Auto11.6
Teleop10.8
End4.6
red by 2.8
24.30.7
23.023.7
Auto6.3
Teleop16.1
End1.9
Third
6465
#28
16.30.5
14.515.0
Auto7.0
Teleop7.5
End1.8
red by 1.6
997
#24
14.80.7
13.113.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End2.7