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Red56
960012.8
273315.1
406018.9
Blue46
943019.7
299018.3
363612.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49582040801005646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4060
#21
18.90.1
18.518.6
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End2.9
blue by 0.8
9430
#15
19.70.1
19.819.7
Auto5.9
Teleop11.1
End2.7
Second
2733
#12
15.10.1
14.814.9
Auto6.2
Teleop7.1
End1.8
blue by 3.2
18.30.1
18.418.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.7
End4.1
Third
9600
#30
12.80.1
12.412.5
Auto6.0
Teleop5.6
End1.1
blue by 0.1
3636
#18
12.90.1
13.012.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End0.8