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Red70
237416.6
289812.0
669617.1
Blue81
469211.9
466214.5
703421.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48550204060801007081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6696
#14
17.10.5
16.617.1
Auto8.4
Teleop6.9
End1.8
blue by 4.8
7034
#10
21.90.1
22.022.0
Auto10.1
Teleop10.3
End1.5
Second
2374
#11
16.60.5
16.216.6
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End0.7
red by 2.1
14.50.1
14.614.6
Auto7.1
Teleop4.7
End2.7
Third
2898
#19
12.00.5
11.512.0
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End0.8
red by 0.1
4692
#20
11.90.1
12.011.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.9