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Red91
646516.3
252142.2
154027.1
Blue39
956714.4
281129.6
142517.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91694060801001201401609139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.20.1
40.240.3
Auto16.7
Teleop22.8
End2.7
red by 12.6
29.60.9
30.930.0
Auto9.9
Teleop14.6
End5.0
Second
27.10.1
25.125.2
Auto11.6
Teleop10.8
End4.6
red by 10.0
1425
#17
17.10.9
18.417.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.3
End4.4
Third
6465
#28
16.30.1
14.414.5
Auto7.0
Teleop7.5
End1.8
red by 2.0
9567
#27
14.40.9
15.714.8
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End2.6