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Red23
70349.0
263510.7
36363.8
Blue20
99910.7
28987.8
27339.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292404060801001202320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.70.4
9.28.8
Auto4.8
Teleop4.0
End1.9
red by 1.5
2733
#14
9.20.4
7.47.0
Auto5.0
Teleop2.3
End1.8
Second
7034
#10
9.00.4
11.911.5
Auto5.9
Teleop2.5
End0.7
red by 1.2
2898
#24
7.80.4
7.97.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Third
3636
#23
3.80.4
4.33.8
Auto2.6
Teleop1.2
End0.0
red by 3.2
9991
#20
0.70.7
6.35.6
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed