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Red25
9554.3
252125.7
13598.5
Blue58
9579.8
46928.6
237417.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593801001502002503002558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2521
#21
25.71.8
35.233.4
Auto10.0
Teleop13.4
End2.2
red by 7.7
17.90.2
15.915.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End0.6
Second
1359
#22
8.51.8
9.37.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End2.7
blue by 1.4
957
#16
9.80.2
13.213.1
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Third
955
#15
4.31.8
5.83.9
Auto3.7
Teleop0.0
End0.6
blue by 4.3
8.60.2
7.37.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed