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Red85
154024.3
27339.2
404328.5
Blue42
28987.8
644324.1
263510.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684502060801001201408542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.7
29.530.2
Auto11.0
Teleop14.2
End3.2
red by 4.3
6443
#13
24.10.7
26.926.2
Auto8.3
Teleop14.3
End1.6
Second
24.30.7
22.122.8
Auto9.1
Teleop11.9
End3.4
red by 13.6
10.70.7
8.88.1
Auto4.8
Teleop4.0
End1.9
Third
2733
#14
9.20.7
7.07.7
Auto5.0
Teleop2.3
End1.8
red by 1.4
2898
#24
7.80.7
7.56.7
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed