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Red48
247122.7
9579.8
7494.2
Blue11
36363.8
9990-0.0
252125.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4443102030405060704811

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.3
22.622.9
Auto9.6
Teleop11.2
End1.8
blue by 3.0
2521
#21
25.72.1
33.431.3
Auto10.0
Teleop13.4
End2.2
Second
957
#16
9.80.3
13.113.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End0.7
red by 6.0
3636
#23
3.82.1
3.81.7
Auto2.6
Teleop1.2
End0.0
Third
749
#9
4.20.3
3.13.4
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End0.2
red by 4.2
9990
#19
-0.03.5
5.11.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop0.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed