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Red34
237417.9
9554.3
27339.2
Blue53
546817.3
154024.3
28987.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26550204060801001203453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.90.2
15.615.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End0.6
blue by 6.4
24.30.1
22.823.0
Auto9.1
Teleop11.9
End3.4
Second
2733
#14
9.20.2
7.77.9
Auto5.0
Teleop2.3
End1.8
blue by 8.1
5468
#12
17.30.1
16.316.4
Auto7.4
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Third
955
#15
4.30.2
3.23.4
Auto3.7
Teleop0.0
End0.6
blue by 3.5
2898
#24
7.80.1
6.76.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed