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Qual 222024 FIRST Chance
Red48
9976.6
263510.7
247122.7
Blue34
644324.1
9579.8
25505.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375302060801001204834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#6
22.70.9
22.9→23.7
Auto9.6
Teleop11.2
End1.8
blue by 1.5
6443
#13
24.11.5
26.2→24.7
Auto8.3
Teleop14.3
End1.6
Second
2635
#4
10.70.9
8.1→8.9
Auto4.8
Teleop4.0
End1.9
red by 0.9
957
#16
9.81.5
13.3→11.9
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Third
997
#5
6.60.9
4.3→5.1
Auto2.9
Teleop1.8
End1.9
red by 0.7
2550
#11
5.91.5
6.2→4.8
Auto3.7
Teleop0.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed