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Red55
316128.0
999613.9
613511.5
Blue32
965910.7
502426.3
76599.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585830405070805532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.5
27.828.3
Auto11.3
Teleop14.9
End1.9
red by 1.7
26.31.4
28.827.4
Auto9.5
Teleop15.0
End1.8
Second
9996
#12
13.90.8
6.47.2
Auto9.1
Teleop5.3
End-0.4
red by 3.3
9659
#19
10.71.4
13.712.2
Auto4.9
Teleop4.6
End1.1
Third
6135
#11
11.50.5
13.413.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.0
red by 2.0
7659
#17
9.51.4
11.19.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed