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Red61
78117.8
490725.5
906215.6
Blue20
201313.5
697813.7
467828.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656802040801001201401606120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.1
23.423.5
Auto10.8
Teleop11.2
End3.5
blue by 3.1
28.62.8
28.425.6
Auto8.7
Teleop15.9
End4.1
Second
781
#13
17.80.1
20.220.4
Auto9.8
Teleop7.2
End0.8
red by 4.1
6978
#25
13.72.8
19.516.8
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End0.0
Third
9062
#15
15.60.1
15.715.8
Auto6.2
Teleop8.4
End1.0
red by 2.1
2013
#24
13.52.8
13.310.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed