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Red85
301534.0
965910.7
260923.6
Blue10
285210.1
613511.5
55963.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions782902040601001201401608510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.01.0
32.133.1
Auto14.3
Teleop15.8
End3.9
red by 22.5
6135
#11
11.51.5
13.912.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.0
Second
23.61.0
21.122.0
Auto6.8
Teleop16.2
End0.6
red by 13.5
2852
#20
10.11.5
15.013.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End0.6
Third
9659
#19
10.71.0
12.213.2
Auto4.9
Teleop4.6
End1.1
red by 7.1
5596
#26
3.61.5
3.41.9
Auto1.9
Teleop0.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed