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Red60
999613.9
888419.4
502426.3
Blue47
752012.5
61030.4
95809.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645610203040507080906047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.4
27.427.7
Auto9.5
Teleop15.0
End1.8
blue by 4.1
610
#4
30.40.7
28.627.9
Auto10.8
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Second
8884
#14
19.40.4
19.920.3
Auto6.0
Teleop11.6
End1.9
red by 6.9
12.50.7
13.813.2
Auto6.5
Teleop4.3
End1.7
Third
9996
#12
13.90.6
7.27.8
Auto9.1
Teleop5.3
End-0.4
red by 4.4
9580
#16
9.50.7
9.58.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed