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Red18
128518.9
965910.7
285210.1
Blue30
76599.5
467828.6
260923.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506502040801001201401601830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1285
#22
18.92.0
20.818.8
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End2.1
blue by 9.7
28.61.8
25.623.8
Auto8.7
Teleop15.9
End4.1
Second
9659
#19
10.72.0
13.211.3
Auto4.9
Teleop4.6
End1.1
blue by 12.9
23.61.8
22.020.2
Auto6.8
Teleop16.2
End0.6
Third
2852
#20
10.12.0
13.511.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End0.6
red by 0.6
7659
#17
9.51.8
9.67.8
Auto3.6
Teleop4.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed46%Ensemble oddsMissed