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Red25
697813.7
502426.3
752012.5
Blue67
888419.4
301534.0
201313.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627102040801001202567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.32.4
27.725.3
Auto9.5
Teleop15.0
End1.8
blue by 7.7
34.00.1
33.133.0
Auto14.3
Teleop15.8
End3.9
Second
6978
#25
13.72.4
16.814.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End0.0
blue by 5.7
8884
#14
19.40.1
20.320.1
Auto6.0
Teleop11.6
End1.9
Third
12.52.4
13.210.7
Auto6.5
Teleop4.3
End1.7
blue by 1.0
2013
#24
13.50.1
10.610.5
Auto6.2
Teleop7.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed