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Red64
61030.4
999613.9
55963.6
Blue58
78117.8
131014.5
316128.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions397002060801001201401606458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#4
30.41.0
27.928.9
Auto10.8
Teleop19.6
End0.0
red by 2.3
28.00.1
27.627.5
Auto11.3
Teleop14.9
End1.9
Second
9996
#12
13.91.6
7.89.4
Auto9.1
Teleop5.3
End-0.4
blue by 3.9
781
#13
17.80.1
20.420.2
Auto9.8
Teleop7.2
End0.8
Third
5596
#26
3.61.0
1.92.9
Auto1.9
Teleop0.6
End1.0
blue by 10.9
1310
#21
14.50.1
11.911.8
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed