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Red34
490725.5
613511.5
583412.8
Blue53
406921.5
86514.2
95809.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524602060801001201403453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.8
23.522.7
Auto10.8
Teleop11.2
End3.5
red by 4.0
21.50.4
18.518.1
Auto5.4
Teleop13.2
End3.0
Second
5834
#18
12.80.8
10.29.4
Auto7.2
Teleop5.1
End0.4
blue by 1.4
865
#10
14.20.4
15.214.7
Auto7.2
Teleop5.9
End1.2
Third
6135
#11
11.50.8
12.411.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.0
red by 2.0
9580
#16
9.50.4
8.98.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed