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Red45
201313.5
430813.3
906215.6
Blue44
76599.5
128518.9
888419.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385402060801001204544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9062
#15
15.60.6
15.816.4
Auto6.2
Teleop8.4
End1.0
blue by 3.9
8884
#14
19.40.5
20.119.6
Auto6.0
Teleop11.6
End1.9
Second
2013
#24
13.50.6
10.511.1
Auto6.2
Teleop7.0
End0.3
blue by 5.5
1285
#22
18.90.5
18.818.3
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Third
4308
#23
13.30.6
9.910.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.3
End1.5
red by 3.8
7659
#17
9.50.5
7.87.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
2%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed