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Red75
131014.5
260923.6
752012.5
Blue39
285210.1
467828.6
999613.9
49%Model gave it51%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465201002003004005006007007539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.61.8
20.222.0
Auto6.8
Teleop16.2
End0.6
blue by 5.0
28.60.4
23.823.4
Auto8.7
Teleop15.9
End4.1
Second
1310
#21
14.51.8
11.813.6
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End1.3
red by 0.6
9996
#12
13.90.6
9.48.8
Auto9.1
Teleop5.3
End-0.4
Third
12.51.8
10.712.5
Auto6.5
Teleop4.3
End1.7
red by 2.4
2852
#20
10.10.4
11.511.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsMissed