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Red62
61030.4
316128.0
128518.9
Blue22
285210.1
490725.5
201313.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96660501506222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#4
30.41.4
30.429.0
Auto10.8
Teleop19.6
End0.0
red by 4.9
25.52.8
29.426.7
Auto10.8
Teleop11.2
End3.5
Second
28.01.4
29.227.8
Auto11.3
Teleop14.9
End1.9
red by 14.6
2013
#24
13.52.8
16.513.8
Auto6.2
Teleop7.0
End0.3
Third
1285
#22
18.91.4
23.522.1
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End2.1
red by 8.8
2852
#20
10.12.8
17.414.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed