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Red12
95809.5
467828.6
430813.3
Blue88
502426.3
406921.5
260923.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68792040601001201288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.63.8
34.931.1
Auto8.7
Teleop15.9
End4.1
red by 2.3
26.30.9
28.028.8
Auto9.5
Teleop15.0
End1.8
Second
4308
#23
13.33.8
15.711.9
Auto4.5
Teleop7.3
End1.5
blue by 10.3
23.60.9
20.621.5
Auto6.8
Teleop16.2
End0.6
Third
9580
#16
9.53.8
12.99.1
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End1.7
blue by 12.0
21.50.9
21.622.5
Auto5.4
Teleop13.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
74%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed