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Red24
888419.4
55963.6
86514.2
Blue70
999613.9
301534.0
906215.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46670204060801001201402470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8884
#14
19.41.4
22.621.3
Auto6.0
Teleop11.6
End1.9
blue by 14.5
34.00.8
30.931.7
Auto14.3
Teleop15.8
End3.9
Second
865
#10
14.21.4
17.516.1
Auto7.2
Teleop5.9
End1.2
blue by 1.4
9062
#15
15.60.8
17.718.4
Auto6.2
Teleop8.4
End1.0
Third
5596
#26
3.61.4
4.43.0
Auto1.9
Teleop0.6
End1.0
blue by 10.4
9996
#12
13.91.3
5.16.4
Auto9.1
Teleop5.3
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed