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Red36
613511.5
76599.5
78117.8
Blue56
752012.5
285210.1
583412.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534302060801003656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#13
17.80.7
21.020.2
Auto9.8
Teleop7.2
End0.8
red by 5.1
5834
#18
12.80.4
10.811.1
Auto7.2
Teleop5.1
End0.4
Second
6135
#11
11.50.7
14.213.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.0
blue by 1.0
12.50.4
14.815.2
Auto6.5
Teleop4.3
End1.7
Third
7659
#17
9.50.7
11.811.1
Auto3.6
Teleop4.2
End1.6
blue by 0.6
2852
#20
10.10.4
14.615.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned