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Red81
201313.5
406921.5
316128.0
Blue48
906215.6
752012.5
285210.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions703902060801001201401608148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.5
27.027.5
Auto11.3
Teleop14.9
End1.9
red by 12.5
9062
#15
15.60.2
15.916.1
Auto6.2
Teleop8.4
End1.0
Second
21.50.5
20.521.0
Auto5.4
Teleop13.2
End3.0
red by 9.0
12.50.2
12.813.0
Auto6.5
Teleop4.3
End1.7
Third
2013
#24
13.50.5
12.412.9
Auto6.2
Teleop7.0
End0.3
red by 3.4
2852
#20
10.10.2
10.410.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End0.6