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Red64
490725.5
95809.5
260923.6
Blue43
78117.8
613511.5
965910.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614201001506443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.2
23.623.9
Auto10.8
Teleop11.2
End3.5
red by 7.7
781
#13
17.80.0
18.118.2
Auto9.8
Teleop7.2
End0.8
Second
23.60.2
21.822.0
Auto6.8
Teleop16.2
End0.6
red by 12.1
6135
#11
11.50.0
11.811.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.0
Third
9580
#16
9.50.2
7.67.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End1.7
blue by 1.2
9659
#19
10.70.0
11.011.0
Auto4.9
Teleop4.6
End1.1