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Red89
48411.5
10333.6
589538.6
Blue53
27224.7
31629.3
20313.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94762040601201401608953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.1
38.438.5
Auto17.1
Teleop18.6
End2.9
red by 9.3
316
#12
29.30.5
30.630.1
Auto15.1
Teleop12.8
End1.4
Second
103
#5
33.60.1
33.433.5
Auto13.4
Teleop18.1
End2.0
red by 8.9
272
#2
24.70.5
26.025.5
Auto4.6
Teleop13.1
End6.9
Third
484
#19
11.50.1
11.311.4
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End1.6
blue by 1.6
203
#27
13.10.5
14.413.9
Auto6.2
Teleop4.0
End2.8