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Red92
48411.5
10333.6
589538.6
Blue39
27224.7
31629.3
20313.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95742040601201401609239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.0
38.538.6
Auto17.1
Teleop18.6
End2.9
red by 9.3
316
#12
29.30.8
30.129.3
Auto15.1
Teleop12.8
End1.4
Second
103
#5
33.60.0
33.533.6
Auto13.4
Teleop18.1
End2.0
red by 8.9
272
#2
24.70.8
25.524.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.1
End6.9
Third
484
#19
11.50.0
11.411.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End1.6
blue by 1.6
203
#27
13.10.8
13.913.1
Auto6.2
Teleop4.0
End2.8