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Red57
910011.3
622616.8
10333.6
Blue53
902717.5
566612.6
540122.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6038020801005753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#5
33.60.4
28.929.3
Auto13.4
Teleop18.1
End2.0
red by 10.9
22.61.1
15.516.6
Auto11.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6
Second
16.80.4
13.914.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End3.0
blue by 0.7
9027
#18
17.51.1
11.312.4
Auto7.3
Teleop8.1
End2.2
Third
9100
#14
11.30.4
8.89.1
Auto5.5
Teleop3.8
End2.0
blue by 1.3
5666
#33
12.61.2
10.111.3
Auto4.5
Teleop7.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed