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Red58
32117.3
42720.6
331433.7
Blue63
164713.4
272016.2
31629.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67642040801001205863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.2
27.527.3
Auto11.9
Teleop17.7
End4.1
red by 4.4
316
#12
29.30.3
28.328.6
Auto15.1
Teleop12.8
End1.4
Second
427
#26
20.60.2
13.713.6
Auto6.5
Teleop13.5
End0.6
red by 4.4
2720
#13
16.20.3
16.917.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.8
End1.8
Third
321
#29
17.30.2
19.419.2
Auto7.4
Teleop9.4
End0.5
red by 3.9
1647
#25
13.40.3
13.413.7
Auto6.5
Teleop5.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed