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Red45
437319.2
566612.6
910011.3
Blue39
218016.1
48614.0
75877.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35410102030506070804539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4373
#22
19.20.8
12.213.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End3.2
red by 3.1
2180
#20
16.10.2
18.418.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Second
5666
#33
12.60.8
11.312.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.8
End0.3
blue by 1.4
486
#21
14.00.2
10.610.8
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End2.5
Third
9100
#14
11.30.8
9.110.0
Auto5.5
Teleop3.8
End2.0
red by 3.4
7587
#30
7.90.2
7.17.3
Auto6.2
Teleop2.0
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed