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Red69
272224.3
566612.6
42720.6
Blue50
48411.5
94169.8
437319.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563502040806950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.31.3
22.523.8
Auto8.4
Teleop14.0
End1.9
red by 5.2
4373
#22
19.20.4
13.013.4
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End3.2
Second
427
#26
20.61.3
13.614.8
Auto6.5
Teleop13.5
End0.6
red by 9.1
484
#19
11.50.4
10.711.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End1.6
Third
5666
#33
12.61.3
12.213.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.8
End0.3
red by 2.8
9416
#24
9.80.4
10.711.1
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed