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Red48
20313.1
75877.9
164024.7
Blue23
910011.3
87145.4
878.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53260204060801004823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#11
24.70.1
23.923.8
Auto8.7
Teleop14.5
End1.5
red by 13.4
9100
#14
11.30.9
10.09.1
Auto5.5
Teleop3.8
End2.0
Second
203
#27
13.10.1
13.713.6
Auto6.2
Teleop4.0
End2.8
red by 4.9
87
#31
8.11.4
10.79.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.0
End1.5
Third
7587
#30
7.90.1
7.37.2
Auto6.2
Teleop2.0
End-0.3
red by 2.5
8714
#23
5.40.9
6.25.4
Auto3.3
Teleop0.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed