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Red40
566612.6
20313.1
218016.1
Blue41
31629.3
47508.1
457515.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49642040801001204041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2180
#20
16.10.7
18.918.3
Auto4.9
Teleop8.8
End2.4
blue by 13.2
316
#12
29.31.3
29.928.6
Auto15.1
Teleop12.8
End1.4
Second
203
#27
13.10.7
13.612.9
Auto6.2
Teleop4.0
End2.8
blue by 2.5
4575
#16
15.61.3
17.416.1
Auto7.3
Teleop7.1
End1.2
Third
5666
#33
12.60.7
13.412.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.8
End0.3
red by 4.5
4750
#34
8.11.3
8.57.2
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed