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Red61
437319.2
201620.5
27224.7
Blue66
331433.7
540122.6
48614.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566601001502006166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#2
24.70.6
20.521.1
Auto4.6
Teleop13.1
End6.9
blue by 9.0
33.70.5
28.328.8
Auto11.9
Teleop17.7
End4.1
Second
2016
#17
20.50.6
17.818.5
Auto6.8
Teleop11.4
End2.3
blue by 2.1
22.60.5
17.918.4
Auto11.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6
Third
4373
#22
19.20.6
13.414.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End3.2
red by 5.1
486
#21
14.00.5
12.012.5
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsEarned